TCS - Bull Put Strategy

• Sell TCS 2200 PE CMP 67.15
• Buy TCS 2160 PE CMP 49.25
• Net Credit received 17.90 x 250 = Rs.4475
• Max Profit = Rs.4475
• Stoploss 28

Nifty Strategy

• Buy Nifty PE 12200 9 Jan 2020: CMP: 57
• Sell Nifty PE 12100 9 Jan 2020: CMP: 25
• Cost:22
• Target:35
• Stoploss:15

TCS - Option Strategy

• Sell 2060 PE - CMP 24.2
• Buy 2040 PE - CMP 17
• Capital Required - Rs.95000
• Max Profit - Rs.1800
• Expiry - Nov 2019

HDFC Bank - Option Strategy

• Sell 1270 CE - CMP 11.8
• Buy 1280 CE - CMP 7.7
• Capital Required - Rs.115000
• Max Profit - Rs.2050
• Expiry - Nov 2019

Axis Bank Strategy

• Sell 1 700 PE 28 Nov. @ Rs.9.8
• Buy 1 670 PE 28 Nov @ Rs. 3.9
• Premium Get Rs.7548
• Breakeven point 694
• Capital Required Rs.1.40 lakhs Aprox

Nifty Strategy

• Sell 28 Nov 2019 CE 11900 @ Rs.118.25
• Buy 28 Nov 2019 CE 12100 @ Rs.40.15
• Get Premium Rs.5858
• Max Profit at Expiry Rs.5858
• Max loss at Expiry Rs.9143
• Breakeven points 11979 
• Margin Required Rs.98000 aprox

Nifty Short Straddle

Sell Nifty 11650 CE 31 October @ 92

Sell Nifty 11650 PE 31 October @ 108

Premium received 75 x 200 = 15000

Target 100

Profit 7500

Nifty Quarterly Chart Analysis

• Since 2008, 3 times Nifty has given 4 quarters consecutive negative returns  
• 1st - Jan 2008 to Dec 2008 - Nifty Range - 6357.1 - 2252.75 
• 2nd - Jan 2011 to Dec 2011 - Nifty Range - 6181.05 - 4531.15
• 3rd - April 2015 to March 2016 - Nifty Range - 8844.8 - 6825.8
• Last quarter (July - Sept 2019) has given negative return. Nifty range 11981.75 -10637.15 
• In last 11 years, whenever 2 red candles (quarterly) are formed, then same trend continues for 2 more quarters. 
• Caution: If on 31st Dec. 2019, Nifty closes below 11515.20 then we might be heading for more fall in next 6 months. 

Now the next Question how much NIFTY can fall?

1st Scenario - 25% Fall - Nifty Target of 8986 

4 Quarter Fall cycle	High	Low	Difference	% fall from    high
1st	6357.1	2252.75	4104.35	65%
2nd	6181.05	4531.15	1649.9	27%
3rd	8844.8	6825.8	2019	23%
4th(In formation)	11981.75	8986.313	2995.438	25%

2nd Scenario - 20% Fall - Nifty Target of 9585

4 Quarter Fall cycle	High	Low	Difference	% fall from high
1st	6357.1	2252.75	4104.35	65%
2nd	6181.05	4531.15	1649.9	27%
3rd	8844.8	6825.8	2019	23%
4th(In formation)	11981.75	9585.4	2396.35	20%